Probsage helps teams design and stress-test progression, economy, and randomness — so mechanics feel right and hold up in production.
Global · Remote-first · NDA-friendly
We focus on system-level questions where “intuition vs metrics” becomes a trap — and a simple, explainable model makes decisions easier.
Difficulty curves, pacing, rewards, and “where players stall” — before you ship.
Sources/sinks, inflation, bottlenecks, pricing logic, and long-term stability.
Variance, streaks, “unlucky feels”, and tuning outcomes without breaking trust.
When new content changes everything: guarding against regressions and exploits.
Translating vague design discomfort into testable hypotheses and concrete levers.
Our default is clarity: models should be simple enough to explain to designers — and strong enough to survive production.
Start from what players feel, then map it to systems and levers.
Minimal model that answers the question — no performative complexity.
If the team can’t reason about it, the model won’t be used.
Stress tests, edge cases, failure modes, and “what breaks if we scale?”
We’re not here to add charts. We’re here to help you decide: tune, redesign, ship, or cut.
Math is how you remove ambiguity from systems — and stop arguing opinions.
Turn “should be fine” into explicit parameters and constraints.
See where exploits, dead-ends, and runaway loops appear.
Reduce iteration cost by narrowing the search space before implementation.
A few common ways teams work with Probsage. No packages, no fluff — we pick what fits your situation.
Scope: system design & tuning. Not reporting-only analytics.
Lightweight support for ongoing design decisions and tradeoffs.
Audit progression/economy/randomness, identify risks, propose levers.
Turn rough ideas into a coherent, testable system before production hardens it.
A single focused question (variance, balance, tuning) with clear outputs.
Probsage is a small studio focused on game systems: progression, economy, balance, and randomness. We combine design intuition with applied math to make decisions clearer and iteration cheaper.
Primary focus: iGaming systems and gambling mechanics.
We work with teams globally, remote-first, and are comfortable under NDA.
Tell us what you’re building and where it feels risky or unclear. We’ll reply with a short plan for next steps.
Typical first message: the game type, the system in question, current constraints, and what decision you’re trying to make.